BREAKING
Analysis

Cincinnati upends Big 12 race with signature upset of Texas Tech

The Bearcats knocked off the eighth-ranked Red Raiders to secure their biggest victory under Scott Satterfield and expose cracks in the defending conference champion.

Uniforms of the Cincinnati Bearcats from the 2023 season
TheGoodGeneral 1 / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 4.0

CINCINNATI — When thousands of fans spilled onto the turf at Nippert Stadium on Saturday, their celebration marked more than just a 37-24 upset of No. 8 Texas Tech. It signaled a defining turning point for head coach Scott Satterfield’s tenure at Cincinnati and a dramatic disruption to the Big 12 title hunt.

The Bearcats entered the Oct. 24 contest having dropped two straight games, while Texas Tech arrived undefeated at 6-0 and riding a dominant run against conference competition. Yet, in front of a capacity crowd of 38,088, Cincinnati dismantled the Red Raiders’ perfect campaign, earning the program’s first victory over an AP Top 10 team since downing Notre Dame during its 2021 College Football Playoff run, according to SB Nation.

How Cincinnati broke the game open

Cincinnati seized control by overwhelming Texas Tech in the second quarter. After being held to negative six rushing yards through the opening period, the Bearcats mounted a 21-0 surge before the break, outgaining the Red Raiders 200 yards to 47 in the frame, the Cincinnati Enquirer reported.

With tailback Gi’Bran Payne sidelined by injury, sophomore running back Cole Tabb carried the offensive load. Tabb finished with a career-best 173 rushing yards and two total touchdowns, including a 58-yard breakaway scamper in the fourth quarter that extinguished Texas Tech’s comeback hopes. Quarterback JC French IV tossed four touchdown passes to four different receivers, despite throwing his first two interceptions of the season on back-to-back third-quarter series.

Defensively, the Bearcats dominated situational football. Texas Tech entered Saturday averaging roughly 38 points per game but converted just three of 15 third downs and managed only one offensive touchdown, which came with 59 seconds left on the clock. Cincinnati safety MJ Cannon delivered an eight-tackle performance featuring an acrobatic interception late in the first half that set up a quick Bearcat touchdown drive, Yahoo Sports reported.

Underlying cracks in Lubbock

For Texas Tech, the loss did not just cost the team its spotless record; it exposed structural flaws that had been building since last year’s run to the Big 12 crown. Yahoo Sports noted that while the Red Raiders forced turnovers early this season, their defense surrendered 5.1 yards per play entering the matchup compared to 3.9 yards per play a year ago, following the departures of NFL draft picks David Bailey and Romello Height.

Texas Tech also faced public scrutiny from high-profile backers. Board of Regents chairman and prominent donor Cody Campbell lamented the performance, stating in a text reported by the Cincinnati Enquirer: “There is no excuse or reason to lose a game like this. We have to be better.”

Red Raiders head coach Joey McGuire echoed the disappointment after the game. “I’m extremely frustrated,” McGuire told reporters, via the Enquirer. “I’ve been doing this a long dang time, and I can’t think of a game that was as frustrating as what I was just a part of.”

What the upset means going forward

The result leaves Texas Tech at 6-1 overall and 3-1 in Big 12 action, no longer in sole control of the conference race alongside unbeaten rivals such as BYU. With no head-to-head meeting scheduled against BYU or Utah during the regular season, the Red Raiders have surrendered their margin for error in returning to the league championship game.

For Cincinnati, now 5-2 overall and 2-2 in league play, the win validates Satterfield’s physical retooling. It also immediately raises the stakes for the Bearcats’ next contest. Cincinnati remains at home on Oct. 31 to host another top-tier opponent when No. 10 Utah visits Nippert Stadium.