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Lula defeats Flávio Bolsonaro to win fourth term as Brazil’s president

The leftist incumbent staged a historic comeback after trailing in the first round, defying a recent regional conservative surge and securing an unprecedented fourth non-consecutive term.

Akira Amari and Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva 20080702 2
Foto: Wilson Dias/Abr / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 3.0 br

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva secured a historic fourth term Sunday, defeating right-wing Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro in a tense presidential runoff that reversed his first-round deficit.

The victory marks the first time since Brazil returned to democracy in 1985 that a candidate who finished second in the opening round went on to win the presidency. Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court confirmed the outcome Sunday night after a dramatic election day complicated by transportation disruptions and a nationwide voting extension.

According to Al Jazeera, electoral authorities called the race with Lula securing 51 percent of the vote, totaling more than 51.49 million ballots, compared to 48.68 percent, or 48.8 million ballots, for Bolsonaro. The Guardian reported that with nearly 99 percent of ballots tabulated, Lula led with 51.75 percent against 48.25 percent for his challenger.

An unprecedented turnaround

Lula entered the runoff as an underdog after trailing Bolsonaro by roughly 2.2 million votes during the Oct. 4 first round, where the conservative challenger took 47 percent to Lula’s 45 percent. The incumbent’s campaign responded with aggressive street mobilizing, expanded digital outreach and appeals on kitchen-table economics, CBS News reported.

In the final weeks before the vote, Lula highlighted measures targeting the cost of living, including a constitutional amendment to reduce the weekly work schedule, proposals for free weekend mass transit, and commercial debt relief initiatives. He also instituted a ban on online gambling apps in September to curb rising household debt, Al Jazeera reported.

Supporters gathered in massive crowds over the weekend in São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro to back the veteran leftist. Lula, who celebrated the results at a hotel in São Paulo alongside first lady Rosângela da Silva and political allies, is slated to begin his new term on Jan. 5, 2027.

Poll extensions and transit disputes

Voting hours were prolonged late Sunday after Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin ordered polls across the nation to remain open for an additional two hours until 7 p.m. Brasilia time. Both political camps had requested extensions in specific regions before the blanket ruling.

Lula’s campaign sought extra time following transit snags across nine states. In Bahia, a stronghold for the president, a state judge ordered the arrest of Salvador mobility secretary Pablo Souza after at least 75 city buses were held back in depots, CBS News reported. Bolsonaro allies attributed vehicle holds to Workers’ Party campaign materials being placed on buses, while Lula condemned the disruptions, telling reporters, “These people need to respect democracy.”

Bolsonaro’s campaign had separately sought extensions due to severe downpours that disrupted voting in southern states. The sudden national extension caused logistical friction, as workers at several polling locations in Brasilia and Rio de Janeiro had already closed voting machines or departed, ABC News reported. CBS News noted the late extension may prompt legal challenges from the Bolsonaro campaign.

Regional stakes and congressional hurdles

The race carried immense geopolitical implications across the Western Hemisphere. Flávio Bolsonaro, the 45-year-old son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, campaigned on a strict anti-crime platform, tax cuts and closer alignment with Washington and President Donald Trump. His father is serving a 27-year prison term related to a coup attempt following his 2022 loss to Lula, and the younger Bolsonaro pledged to pursue amnesty for him.

Flávio Bolsonaro had also confronted scrutiny over personal finances, including an acknowledged $12 million payment from a former banker to fund a biographical film about his father, which sparked federal inquiries into alleged money laundering, tax evasion and corruption, CBS News reported.

Lula’s triumph keeps Latin America’s largest economy in leftist hands, running counter to right-wing gains across nations such as Argentina, Colombia and Peru, news outlets reported. However, analysts note that Lula will face significant domestic obstacles when his term begins, confronting a conservative-dominated National Congress that may resist his administration’s legislative priorities.