Analysis

Valparaiso double-overtime shocker exposes deeper flaws for winless Purdue

A rare home upset by the Beacons highlights Purdue’s sudden perimeter shooting crisis and signals a breakthrough for Valparaiso.

Purdue Boilermakers men's basketball.
Kevin Mohr / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 2.0

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. — When Valparaiso walked out of Mackey Arena late Friday night with an 83-80 double-overtime victory, the outcome sent shockwaves through men’s college basketball. Yet beneath the thrill of a mid-major triumph lies a stark reality check for Purdue, whose early-season offensive identity has unraveled at alarming speed.

The defeat dropped Purdue to 0-2 for the first time since 1976, marking the first winless two-game start in head coach Matt Painter’s tenure, Bleacher Report noted. Purdue, which had already fallen out of the AP Top 25 preseason rankings to snap a 79-week streak, reportedly paid a $90,000 guarantee for the home matchup. Instead of securing a stabilizing bounce-back after an opening loss to No. 15 Gonzaga, the Boilermakers were pushed into deep self-examination by an in-state opponent they had controlled early, leading 19-4 while limiting the Beacons to two field goals in the entire first half.

Purdue’s perimeter breakdown

Purdue’s primary trouble is no longer an isolated bad night. The Boilermakers converted just 5 of 28 attempts from beyond the arc on Friday, including a 1-of-10 mark in the second half and zero makes across two overtime periods, according to Sports Illustrated. Through two regular-season contests, Purdue is shooting a combined 20.4 percent from distance on 10-of-49 shooting.

Factoring in an exhibition defeat against UConn where Purdue went 2 of 25 from distance, the team has hit only 16.2 percent over three consecutive outings, the Journal & Courier reported. While Painter described the looks as quality attempts from established shooters, he called the pattern “alarming” because it has persisted across multiple venues.

The reliance on outside shooting also obscured dominant play inside. Center Daniel Jacobsen produced 28 points and 10 rebounds, repeatedly drawing contact and fouling out two Valparaiso big men, Sports Illustrated reported. Purdue found success in the extra frames by attacking the rim and hitting 14 of 14 free throws, but the reluctance to abandon an errant perimeter approach earlier left the door open for Valparaiso’s comeback.

A transformational night for the Beacons

For Valparaiso and third-year head coach Roger Powell Jr., the victory carries historical significance that extends beyond a single upset. According to SB Nation, the result marked Valparaiso’s first victory against a high-major opponent in nearly a decade. Current Missouri Valley Conference programs had gathered just five victories against high-major opponents throughout the 2020s before Friday night.

True freshman Rakim Chaney spearheaded the rally, scoring 35 points despite eventually fouling out in the second overtime, Bleacher Report reported. Chaney kept Valparaiso alive in the closing seconds of the first overtime by grabbing his own missed free throw and drilling an off-balance 3-pointer. In the final seconds of the second extra period, Justus McNair — Powell’s first high school recruit at Valparaiso — banked in the game-winning 3-pointer to finish with 17 points, according to reports from SB Nation and Sports Illustrated.

The triumph pushed the Beacons to 121st in the KenPom rankings, their highest placement since mid-December 2017, SB Nation reported. Coming off the program’s first winning Missouri Valley record a year ago, the win validates the rebuilding vision under Powell.

What lies ahead

Purdue must resolve its offensive hesitancy immediately. The Boilermakers remain at Mackey Arena on Monday night to face Illinois State, where Painter must determine whether to reconfigure shot selection or wait out the shooting slump before Big Ten play arrives.